posted by ![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
orichalcum at 12:42pm on 23/04/2005
orichalcum at 12:42pm on 23/04/2005With all the depressing stuff in the news lately, it's really nice to see articles like this, which show that a. the divorce rate isn't actually 50% and b. it is lowest for couples married since the 1980s where both parties are college graduates. In fact, for people married between 1990 and 1994, the rate for college graduates is just 16%, whereas it's 35% for couples where the woman is not college-educated.
This is obviously not to say that I think education is the only determining factor here; I suspect that socioeconomic status, age at first marriage, and cultural/religious values have a lot to do with it, as well as the more indefinite factors. But I think many have grown up with this great dread, that even if we thought we had found the perfect person to share our lives with and that we were making a sane, adult, and reasoned decision, that we still only had a 50% shot of getting it right. A 5/6 shot or even a 3/4 shot seems so much more plausible.
Someone go tell all the "marriage promotion" state funds that they should just use the money to send more people to college
Happy Pesach.
This is obviously not to say that I think education is the only determining factor here; I suspect that socioeconomic status, age at first marriage, and cultural/religious values have a lot to do with it, as well as the more indefinite factors. But I think many have grown up with this great dread, that even if we thought we had found the perfect person to share our lives with and that we were making a sane, adult, and reasoned decision, that we still only had a 50% shot of getting it right. A 5/6 shot or even a 3/4 shot seems so much more plausible.
Someone go tell all the "marriage promotion" state funds that they should just use the money to send more people to college
Happy Pesach.
cheerful
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http://answers.google.com/answers/threadview?id=363986
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"“First marriages by wife’s age at marriage—If the wife was a teenager
at first marriage, the marriage is much more likely to dissolve than
if the wife was at least 20 years of age at marriage. The first
marriages of brides under age 18 years are the most likely to dissolve
at all marital durations, followed by the marriages of women 18–19
years of age at marriage. Marriages of women at least age 20 years at
marriage are much less likely to dissolve (table 3 and figure 1)."
Since there are very few college graduates under the 20, the simple fact that college graduates are older probably explains at least some of the effect.
I've always felt early marriage unwise, and the statistics seem to bear that out.
I imagine the subcultures which encourage early marriage have something to do with the high divorce rate, but I'd want to look at which ones those were before drew conclusions.
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It's really reassuring to hear that the divorce rate is declining, both personally and politically. Thank you!
indeed I do
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/pubs/pubd/series/sr23/pre-1/pre-1.htm
Number 22, a few down, "Cohabitation, Marriage, Divorce, and Remarriage in the United States."
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